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Red108
533836.4
395948.7
320126.3
Blue76
549231.6
319627.3
27923.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104735015020010876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.1
46.046.1
Auto0.3
Teleop48.4
End0.0
red by 17.1
5492
#12
31.60.0
31.131.1
Auto0.9
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
36.40.1
33.733.8
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 9.1
27.30.0
26.826.8
Auto0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
3201
#21
26.30.1
23.523.6
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 3.0
279
#33
23.30.0
22.722.7
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0