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Semifinal pool 22015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red146
45655.4
314040.8
496513.1
Blue138
533836.4
395948.7
320126.3
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041008090110120130140146138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#3
55.40.6
54.7→55.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.6
End0.0
red by 6.6
3959
#5
48.70.6
46.4→47.0
Auto0.3
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Second
3140
#2
40.80.6
40.1→40.7
Auto0.2
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 4.4
5338
#7
36.40.6
34.1→34.6
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
4965
#49
13.10.6
12.4→13.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 13.1
3201
#21
26.30.6
23.9→24.5
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0