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Red186
62437.6
11853.4
261312.6
Blue140
98757.7
14864.3
380216.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80142050100200250300350186140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
53.41.9
49.851.7
Auto3.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
blue by 10.9
148
#1
64.30.2
63.864.0
Auto0.8
Teleop63.5
End0.0
Second
624
#11
37.61.9
33.935.8
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 20.1
987
#2
57.70.2
57.257.3
Auto8.6
Teleop49.0
End0.0
Third
2613
#44
12.61.9
8.910.8
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 4.0
3802
#25
16.50.2
16.016.2
Auto1.7
Teleop14.9
End0.0