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Red149
62437.6
11853.4
261312.6
Blue215
98757.7
14864.3
380216.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87141050200250300350149215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
53.41.0
51.752.7
Auto3.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
blue by 10.9
148
#1
64.31.6
64.065.5
Auto0.8
Teleop63.5
End0.0
Second
624
#11
37.61.0
35.836.8
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 20.1
987
#2
57.71.6
57.358.9
Auto8.6
Teleop49.0
End0.0
Third
2613
#44
12.61.0
10.811.8
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 4.0
3802
#25
16.51.6
16.217.8
Auto1.7
Teleop14.9
End0.0