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Red0
449925.4
42069.1
40454.2
Blue20
34819.7
541717.2
541115.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4022050100150020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.42.7
22.119.4
Auto0.4
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 8.2
5417
#21
17.20.5
8.37.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
4206
#45
9.12.7
8.75.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 6.7
5411
#15
15.80.5
6.45.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
4045
#41
4.22.7
8.15.3
Auto1.2
Teleop3.0
End0.0
blue by 5.5
3481
#40
9.70.5
11.110.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.3
End0.0