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Qual 122015 Dallas Regional
Red16
436422.1
464110.8
93215.7
Blue26
505716.6
261312.6
295017.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274002060801001201401601626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4364
#14
22.11.2
10.1→8.9
Auto1.0
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 4.4
2950
#18
17.61.1
15.6→14.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
932
#23
15.71.2
11.5→10.3
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5057
#16
16.61.1
14.3→13.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
4641
#34
10.81.2
8.8→7.6
Auto0.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 1.7
2613
#44
12.61.1
9.6→8.5
Auto1.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0