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Red8
246824.2
57756.0
16424.8
Blue18
56829.7
328213.3
5726.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382406080100120140818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#28
24.22.5
20.718.3
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
57
#12
26.60.8
11.410.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
5775
#46
6.02.5
10.07.6
Auto-1.0
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 7.2
3282
#26
13.30.8
9.38.5
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
1642
#36
4.82.5
6.74.2
Auto-1.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5682
#43
9.70.8
6.45.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.0
End0.0