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Red26
337011.9
147732.1
52129.4
Blue10
45715.0
43549.8
284820.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543001001502002610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.12.2
33.731.5
Auto0.8
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 12.0
2848
#22
20.12.1
15.613.5
Auto3.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
3370
#27
11.92.2
6.74.5
Auto1.7
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 3.1
457
#20
15.02.1
12.09.9
Auto1.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
5212
#42
9.42.2
12.09.8
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4354
#33
9.82.1
7.65.5
Auto0.7
Teleop9.1
End0.0