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Red32
28977.6
42069.1
541115.8
Blue112
295017.6
98757.7
45715.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177105010015020032112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#15
15.80.5
5.96.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 41.9
987
#2
57.73.9
40.544.5
Auto8.6
Teleop49.0
End0.0
Second
4206
#45
9.10.5
5.96.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 8.5
2950
#18
17.63.9
14.418.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
2897
#35
7.60.5
14.214.7
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 7.4
457
#20
15.03.9
9.913.9
Auto1.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0