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Qual 222015 Dallas Regional
Red30
70423.1
147732.1
246824.2
Blue9
331015.6
406316.2
6478.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7834050100150200309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#4
32.13.6
31.5→27.9
Auto0.8
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 15.9
4063
#29
16.22.8
14.8→12.1
Auto0.7
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Second
2468
#28
24.23.6
18.3→14.6
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 8.6
3310
#37
15.62.8
17.3→14.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
704
#8
23.13.6
23.9→20.3
Auto0.9
Teleop22.2
End0.0
red by 14.6
647
#32
8.52.8
10.1→7.3
Auto1.2
Teleop7.3
End0.0