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Red16
573910.7
41928.9
16424.8
Blue89
43549.8
11853.4
430022.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18640501001502001689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5739
#30
10.70.8
10.810.0
Auto0.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 42.7
118
#3
53.42.5
34.036.5
Auto3.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
Second
4192
#47
8.90.8
10.910.1
Auto0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 14.0
22.92.5
19.922.4
Auto1.4
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
1642
#36
4.80.8
4.23.4
Auto-1.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 5.1
4354
#33
9.82.5
5.58.0
Auto0.7
Teleop9.1
End0.0