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Red2
367617.2
246824.2
52129.4
Blue32
300521.4
30379.1
373530.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3333050100150200232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#28
24.22.7
14.611.9
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 5.9
30.10.2
13.813.6
Auto1.3
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
3676
#19
17.22.7
11.99.2
Auto0.5
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 4.2
3005
#13
21.40.2
11.010.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
5212
#42
9.42.7
7.85.1
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0
red by 0.3
3037
#31
9.10.2
9.18.9
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0