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Red3
16424.8
337011.9
541717.2
Blue68
464110.8
6478.5
62437.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10450206080100120140368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#21
17.20.5
6.45.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 20.3
624
#11
37.62.3
27.930.1
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Second
3370
#27
11.90.5
5.75.2
Auto1.7
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 1.1
4641
#34
10.82.3
5.57.8
Auto0.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Third
1642
#36
4.80.5
3.42.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 3.8
647
#32
8.52.3
7.39.6
Auto1.2
Teleop7.3
End0.0