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Red0
45715.0
524210.4
541115.8
Blue8
129620.6
93215.7
16424.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36360102030405008

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#15
15.89.4
15.86.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 4.8
1296
#17
20.61.9
15.313.3
Auto-1.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Second
457
#20
15.02.1
14.212.0
Auto1.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 0.7
932
#23
15.71.9
13.411.5
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
5242
#39
10.42.1
14.712.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 5.7
1642
#36
4.81.9
8.66.7
Auto-1.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0