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Red11
33558.1
541717.2
578615.7
Blue18
246824.2
335023.1
56829.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2145060801001201401601118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#21
17.27.2
15.58.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 7.0
2468
#28
24.22.1
22.820.7
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Second
5786
#24
15.77.4
15.78.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 7.4
23.12.1
11.89.7
Auto2.5
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
3355
#38
8.10.2
8.28.0
Auto1.5
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 1.5
5682
#43
9.73.3
9.76.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.0
End0.0