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Red65
541115.8
5726.6
246824.2
Blue0
436422.1
41928.9
52129.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28250406080100120650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57
#12
26.63.1
11.314.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 4.5
4364
#14
22.10.3
13.413.7
Auto1.0
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
2468
#28
24.23.1
11.915.0
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 14.8
5212
#42
9.40.3
5.15.4
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0
Third
5411
#15
15.83.1
4.97.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 6.9
4192
#47
8.90.3
7.98.2
Auto0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0