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Qual 342015 Dallas Regional
Red78
98757.7
367617.2
464110.8
Blue98
449925.4
6478.5
147732.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635401001502007898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
57.71.2
46.5→47.7
Auto8.6
Teleop49.0
End0.0
red by 25.6
1477
#4
32.13.4
27.9→31.3
Auto0.8
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
3676
#19
17.21.2
9.2→10.4
Auto0.5
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 8.2
4499
#9
25.43.4
20.0→23.4
Auto0.4
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
4641
#34
10.81.2
7.8→9.0
Auto0.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 2.3
647
#32
8.53.4
9.6→13.0
Auto1.2
Teleop7.3
End0.0