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Red8
578615.7
28977.6
30379.1
Blue18
524210.4
284820.1
62437.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266204080100120140160818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5786
#24
15.72.0
9.47.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 21.8
624
#11
37.62.9
30.127.3
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Second
3037
#31
9.12.0
8.96.9
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 11.0
2848
#22
20.12.9
16.914.0
Auto3.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
2897
#35
7.62.0
14.112.0
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5242
#39
10.42.9
11.58.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0