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Red38
295017.6
129620.6
541717.2
Blue30
543122.2
16424.8
328213.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3620060801001203830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#17
20.60.7
12.913.6
Auto-1.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 1.6
5431
#10
22.20.5
12.913.4
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
2950
#18
17.60.7
16.317.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 4.4
3282
#26
13.30.5
7.98.4
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
5417
#21
17.20.7
5.86.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 12.5
1642
#36
4.80.5
2.93.4
Auto-1.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0