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Red18
380216.5
33558.1
43549.8
Blue15
42069.1
57756.0
70423.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193204060801001201401815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#25
16.50.3
9.18.7
Auto1.7
Teleop14.9
End0.0
blue by 6.6
704
#8
23.11.4
18.717.4
Auto0.9
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Second
4354
#33
9.80.3
6.05.6
Auto0.7
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 0.7
4206
#45
9.11.4
8.57.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Third
3355
#38
8.10.3
7.06.6
Auto1.5
Teleop6.7
End0.0
red by 2.1
5775
#46
6.01.4
4.32.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop7.1
End0.0