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Red72
16424.8
147732.1
430022.9
Blue46
524210.4
578615.7
246824.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582501001507246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.5
31.332.8
Auto0.8
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 7.9
2468
#28
24.21.2
15.016.3
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Second
22.91.5
19.821.3
Auto1.4
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 7.1
5786
#24
15.71.2
7.48.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
1642
#36
4.81.5
3.44.8
Auto-1.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5242
#39
10.41.2
8.69.9
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0