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Red18
28977.6
52129.4
129620.6
Blue122
328213.3
40454.2
98757.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24650408010012014016018122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#17
20.61.1
13.612.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 37.1
987
#2
57.75.1
47.752.8
Auto8.6
Teleop49.0
End0.0
Second
5212
#42
9.41.1
5.44.3
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3282
#26
13.35.1
8.413.5
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
2897
#35
7.61.1
12.011.0
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0
red by 3.4
4045
#41
4.25.1
4.79.8
Auto1.2
Teleop3.0
End0.0