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Red32
6478.5
93215.7
505716.6
Blue49
42069.1
30379.1
284820.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3925060801001201403249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5057
#16
16.60.5
13.012.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 3.5
2848
#22
20.11.8
14.015.7
Auto3.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
932
#23
15.70.5
12.511.9
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 6.6
4206
#45
9.11.8
7.18.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Third
647
#32
8.50.5
13.012.4
Auto1.2
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3037
#31
9.11.8
6.98.7
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0