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Red82
331015.6
373530.1
573910.7
Blue118
543122.2
5726.6
541717.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323302040608010082118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.14.0
13.217.3
Auto1.3
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 3.6
57
#12
26.67.0
14.421.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
3310
#37
15.64.0
13.317.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 6.6
5431
#10
22.27.0
13.420.4
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
5739
#30
10.74.0
7.011.0
Auto0.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 6.6
5417
#21
17.27.0
6.613.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.6
End0.0