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Red26
331015.6
578615.7
430022.9
Blue26
52129.4
541115.8
284820.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502404060801001201401602626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.91.8
21.319.5
Auto1.4
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 2.8
2848
#22
20.10.2
15.715.5
Auto3.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
5786
#24
15.71.8
8.66.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Level
5411
#15
15.80.2
8.68.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
3310
#37
15.61.8
17.315.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 6.2
5212
#42
9.40.2
4.34.1
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0