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Red60
11853.4
98757.7
16424.8
Blue34
543122.2
34819.7
406316.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103290501502006034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
57.72.9
52.849.9
Auto8.6
Teleop49.0
End0.0
red by 35.5
5431
#10
22.20.7
20.419.7
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
118
#3
53.42.9
37.734.8
Auto3.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
red by 37.2
4063
#29
16.20.7
9.89.2
Auto0.7
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
1642
#36
4.82.9
4.81.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 4.9
3481
#40
9.70.7
11.811.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.3
End0.0