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Qual 662015 Dallas Regional
Red0
367617.2
42069.1
295017.6
Blue60
406316.2
45715.0
430022.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48430206080100120140060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2950
#18
17.60.9
20.7→19.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 5.2
4300
#5
22.91.1
21.4→22.5
Auto1.4
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
3676
#19
17.20.9
16.8→15.9
Auto0.5
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 1.0
4063
#29
16.21.1
11.8→12.8
Auto0.7
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
4206
#45
9.10.9
11.1→10.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 5.9
457
#20
15.01.1
11.8→12.9
Auto1.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0