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Red44
147732.1
62437.6
129620.6
Blue42
93215.7
300521.4
70423.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865301001502004442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#11
37.62.9
29.927.0
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 14.5
704
#8
23.11.3
24.723.4
Auto0.9
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Second
32.12.9
34.932.0
Auto0.8
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 10.7
3005
#13
21.41.3
22.220.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
1296
#17
20.62.9
19.016.1
Auto-1.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 4.9
932
#23
15.71.3
13.512.2
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0