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Red10
30379.1
295017.6
6478.5
Blue18
449925.4
573910.7
56829.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3854020801001201401018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2950
#18
17.62.1
19.717.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 7.8
25.42.3
28.025.7
Auto0.4
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Second
3037
#31
9.12.1
11.29.1
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 1.6
5739
#30
10.72.3
13.010.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
647
#32
8.52.1
10.68.5
Auto1.2
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 1.2
5682
#43
9.72.3
12.09.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.0
End0.0