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Red16
43549.8
524210.4
42069.1
Blue60
331015.6
464110.8
246824.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294502060801001201401660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5242
#39
10.41.1
11.610.4
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 13.8
2468
#28
24.21.1
20.121.1
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Second
4354
#33
9.81.1
10.99.8
Auto0.7
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 5.8
3310
#37
15.61.1
14.415.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
4206
#45
9.11.1
10.29.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 1.7
4641
#34
10.81.1
9.810.8
Auto0.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0