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Red70
458743.3
50706.3
399922.8
Blue100
125525.8
35165.4
62482.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359505015020025070100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.6
17.919.5
Auto0.2
Teleop43.2
End0.0
blue by 39.0
624
#3
82.30.6
65.365.9
Auto13.7
Teleop68.6
End0.0
Second
3999
#32
22.81.6
18.219.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 2.9
1255
#12
25.80.7
19.620.4
Auto1.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
5070
#54
6.32.0
9.711.7
Auto0.0
Teleop6.3
End0.0
red by 1.0
3516
#50
5.40.6
3.84.5
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0