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Qual 22015 Lone Star Regional
Red12
526124.3
473115.5
461013.2
Blue24
550313.4
30164.1
258745.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275601001502001224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5261
#20
24.31.7
10.5→8.8
Auto1.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 20.9
2587
#6
45.31.2
35.1→33.9
Auto0.2
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Second
4731
#43
15.51.1
9.7→8.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 2.1
5503
#25
13.46.3
13.4→7.1
Auto0.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
4610
#41
13.21.3
12.0→10.6
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 9.1
3016
#55
4.11.4
9.7→8.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.1
End0.0