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Red104
258511.3
355629.7
258231.5
Blue102
463917.7
557221.2
361238.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42560100150200250104102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#16
31.54.9
13.118.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0
blue by 7.0
3612
#10
38.62.8
28.931.7
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Second
3556
#11
29.73.6
21.324.9
Auto0.4
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 8.5
5572
#42
21.23.1
20.323.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
2585
#40
11.34.9
10.915.8
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 6.3
4639
#14
17.73.1
6.59.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.4
End0.0