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Qual 132015 Lone Star Regional
Red58
355629.7
526124.3
541411.2
Blue38
125525.8
44113.7
458910.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384701001502002503003504005838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3556
#11
29.71.0
24.9→25.9
Auto0.4
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 4.0
1255
#12
25.80.5
20.4→19.8
Auto1.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
5261
#20
24.31.5
8.8→10.3
Auto1.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 10.7
441
#46
13.70.5
16.0→15.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
5414
#51
11.21.5
6.6→8.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 0.4
4589
#48
10.80.7
10.5→9.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0