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Red20
432818.7
281711.8
359323.4
Blue126
407614.5
62482.3
373540.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44110015020025020126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#35
23.41.7
30.528.9
Auto0.2
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 58.9
624
#3
82.31.1
65.967.0
Auto13.7
Teleop68.6
End0.0
Second
4328
#34
18.72.5
13.511.0
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 21.8
40.51.1
33.834.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Third
2817
#37
11.81.8
12.210.3
Auto0.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 2.7
4076
#23
14.51.3
3.85.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.2
End0.0