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Qual 172015 Lone Star Regional
Red26
288218.8
45725.7
396115.8
Blue18
30164.1
473115.5
233323.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393802060802618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#19
25.70.6
21.0→20.4
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 2.2
2333
#49
23.50.3
24.5→24.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
2882
#26
18.81.0
8.2→7.2
Auto0.3
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 3.3
4731
#43
15.50.3
8.6→8.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
3961
#27
15.80.7
8.7→7.9
Auto0.2
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 11.6
3016
#55
4.10.4
8.2→7.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.1
End0.0