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Red65
546915.3
541618.1
374117.1
Blue34
42958.9
399725.7
526124.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4037102030506070806534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5416
#29
18.11.3
13.414.8
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 7.7
3997
#18
25.70.3
18.117.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
3741
#36
17.12.0
10.112.1
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 7.3
5261
#20
24.30.4
10.39.9
Auto1.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Third
5469
#28Sur
15.31.3
17.719.1
Auto0.6
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 6.5
4295
#39Sur
8.90.4
10.19.7
Auto0.3
Teleop8.5
End0.0