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Qual 212015 Lone Star Regional
Red132
296615.7
458743.3
62482.3
Blue111
5735.9
373540.5
372811.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10161050150200132111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#3
82.31.7
67.0→68.7
Auto13.7
Teleop68.6
End0.0
red by 41.9
3735
#5
40.52.4
34.9→37.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
4587
#4
43.31.9
21.4→23.2
Auto0.2
Teleop43.2
End0.0
red by 7.4
57
#24
35.92.4
30.3→32.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Third
2966
#33Sur
15.72.8
10.2→13.0
Auto0.8
Teleop14.9
End0.0
red by 4.5
3728
#53
11.13.9
4.6→8.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0