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Red26
557221.2
432818.7
50706.3
Blue8
45725.7
281711.8
399111.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4633020406080100120268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
#42
21.21.1
25.324.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
457
#19
25.71.4
20.419.0
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Second
4328
#34
18.71.6
11.09.4
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 6.9
2817
#37
11.81.6
10.38.8
Auto0.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
5070
#54
6.31.6
9.37.6
Auto0.0
Teleop6.3
End0.0
blue by 5.2
3991
#45
11.51.6
5.33.8
Auto0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0