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Red63
310331.6
288218.8
302819.0
Blue64
347840.2
47215.3
399922.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35710501001502006364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3103
#17
31.61.2
22.423.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
blue by 8.6
3478
#13
40.20.2
39.739.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Second
3028
#30
19.01.8
12.314.0
Auto0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3999
#32
22.80.2
21.020.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
2882
#26
18.81.8
7.29.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 13.4
4721
#52
5.30.2
7.37.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.4
End0.0