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Red73
383418.6
407614.5
473115.5
Blue125
23140.7
542717.8
288130.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196205010015020073125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3834
#44
18.63.9
13.117.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 22.1
231
#8
40.73.7
32.035.8
Auto0.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
4731
#43
15.52.3
8.310.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 14.7
30.23.7
13.517.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Third
4076
#23
14.52.3
5.07.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 3.3
5427
#31
17.85.6
12.017.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.8
End0.0