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Red78
361238.6
461013.2
333525.4
Blue14
458910.8
233323.5
415519.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624702040801001201407814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3612
#10
38.60.8
33.033.9
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 15.1
2333
#49
23.51.4
24.222.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
25.40.9
15.916.9
Auto0.2
Teleop25.2
End0.0
red by 5.9
4155
#22
19.52.1
16.814.7
Auto0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
4610
#41
13.20.9
12.513.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 2.4
4589
#48
10.82.1
9.87.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0