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Qual 282015 Lone Star Regional
Red45
147730.6
359323.4
258745.3
Blue102
355629.7
541618.1
45725.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10349015020045102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#6
45.32.7
37.8→35.1
Auto0.2
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 15.5
3556
#11
29.72.1
25.9→28.0
Auto0.4
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
1477
#38
30.62.7
31.5→28.8
Auto0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 4.8
457
#19
25.72.1
19.0→21.1
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
3593
#35
23.42.7
28.9→26.2
Auto0.2
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 5.4
5416
#29
18.12.1
14.8→16.9
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0