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Red5
372811.1
296615.7
42958.9
Blue94
118110.2
288218.8
281711.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13124050100150200250300594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2966
#33
15.71.7
13.011.3
Auto0.8
Teleop14.9
End0.0
blue by 94.6
118
#1
110.20.1
93.093.0
Auto12.1
Teleop98.1
End0.0
Second
3728
#53
11.11.7
8.56.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 7.7
2882
#26
18.80.1
9.09.1
Auto0.3
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
4295
#39
8.91.7
9.78.1
Auto0.3
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 2.9
2817
#37
11.80.1
8.88.9
Auto0.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0