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Red16
35165.4
432818.7
546915.3
Blue28
44113.7
147730.6
30164.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275401001501628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4328
#34
18.70.8
9.48.5
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 11.9
1477
#38
30.61.2
28.827.6
Auto0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
5469
#28
15.30.5
19.118.6
Auto0.6
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 1.6
441
#46
13.71.2
16.114.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
3516
#50
5.40.5
3.63.1
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0
red by 1.2
3016
#55
4.12.0
7.05.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.1
End0.0