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Red94
361238.6
399111.5
556612.6
Blue142
396115.8
458743.3
399725.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474520608010012014094142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3612
#10
38.62.3
33.936.2
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
blue by 4.7
43.34.7
23.227.9
Auto0.2
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Second
5566
#47
12.63.9
9.413.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 13.1
3997
#18
25.74.7
17.822.5
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Third
3991
#45
11.52.3
3.86.1
Auto0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 4.2
3961
#27
15.84.7
7.412.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.6
End0.0