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Red61
359323.4
415519.5
373540.5
Blue23
288218.8
47215.3
258511.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91160501502006123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.8
38.037.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 21.7
2882
#26
18.80.4
9.18.7
Auto0.3
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
3593
#35
23.40.8
28.227.4
Auto0.2
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 12.1
2585
#40
11.30.4
12.311.9
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
4155
#22
19.51.3
16.214.9
Auto0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 14.1
4721
#52
5.30.3
6.96.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.4
End0.0