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Qual 462015 Lone Star Regional
Red27
458910.8
556612.6
399725.7
Blue35
35165.4
473115.5
359323.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413820305060702735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3997
#18
25.70.8
22.5→21.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 2.3
3593
#35
23.40.3
27.4→27.2
Auto0.2
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
5566
#47
12.61.3
13.3→12.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 2.9
4731
#43
15.50.3
9.8→9.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
4589
#48
10.81.3
6.3→5.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 5.5
3516
#50
5.40.3
3.1→2.8
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0