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Qual 452015 Lone Star Regional
Red34
281711.8
125525.8
557221.2
Blue4
302819.0
396115.8
546915.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554102080100120140344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1255
#12
25.81.0
23.6→22.5
Auto1.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 6.8
3028
#30
19.03.4
13.8→10.4
Auto0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Second
5572
#42
21.21.0
22.5→21.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 5.5
3961
#27
15.82.0
12.1→10.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
2817
#37
11.81.0
8.9→7.8
Auto0.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 3.5
5469
#28
15.32.0
18.6→16.5
Auto0.6
Teleop14.7
End0.0