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Red18
5735.9
44113.7
47215.3
Blue35
281711.8
233323.5
541618.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54460204060801001835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57
#24
35.91.8
33.832.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop36.4
End0.0
red by 12.4
2333
#49
23.50.7
22.822.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
441
#46
13.71.8
14.212.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5416
#29
18.10.7
18.217.5
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4721
#52
5.31.8
6.74.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.4
End0.0
blue by 6.5
2817
#37
11.80.7
7.87.1
Auto0.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0